2.(文系) High level people たちの<数学ディベート>(もどき?)(>>8)について: >>492-494は、”uniform probability”を説明するための非数学的な例えの説明であって、そこに重箱の隅つつきの難癖をつけてもなんにもならんぜ 何も間違っていない。”uniform probability”の意味を理解していない、貴方たち(文系) High level peopleが、曲解して>>492-494のような難癖をつけているだけのことだ
(参考)原文 [HT08b] Christopher S. Hardin and Alan D. Taylor. A peculiar connection between the axiom of choice and predicting the future. American Mathematical Monthly, 115(2):91{96, February 2008. http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/download?doi=10.1.1.365.7027&rep=rep1&type=pdf (抜粋) P93 One needs to be cautious about interpreting this as meaning that the μ-strategy is correct with probability 1. For a fixed true scenario, if one randomly selects an instant t in the interval [0,1] (or in R, under a suitable probability distribution), then Corollary 3.4 does tell us that the μ-strategy will be correct at t with probability 1. However, if one fixes the instant t, and randomly selects a true scenario, then the probability that the μ-strategy is correct at t under that scenario might be 0 or might not even exist, depending on how one defines the notion of a random scenario. (引用終り)